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SpaceX Alleges a Chinese-Deployed Satellite Risked Colliding with Starlink (pcmag.com) 45

"A SpaceX executive says a satellite deployed from a Chinese rocket risked colliding with a Starlink satellite," reports PC Magazine: On Friday, company VP for Starlink engineering, Michael Nicolls, tweeted about the incident and blamed a lack of coordination from the Chinese launch provider CAS Space. "When satellite operators do not share ephemeris for their satellites, dangerously close approaches can occur in space," he wrote, referring to the publication of predicted orbital positions for such satellites...

[I]t looks like one of the satellites veered relatively close to a Starlink sat that's been in service for over two years. "As far as we know, no coordination or deconfliction with existing satellites operating in space was performed, resulting in a 200 meter (656 feet) close approach between one of the deployed satellites and STARLINK-6079 (56120) at 560 km altitude," Nicolls wrote... "Most of the risk of operating in space comes from the lack of coordination between satellite operators — this needs to change," he added.

Chinese launch provider CAS Space told PCMag that "As a launch service provider, our responsibility ends once the satellites are deployed, meaning we do not have control over the satellites' maneuvers."

And the article also cites astronomer/satellite tracking expert Jonathan McDowell, who had tweeted that CAS Space's response "seems reasonable." (In an email to PC Magazine, he'd said "Two days after launch is beyond the window usually used for predicting launch related risks."

But "The coordination that Nicolls cited is becoming more and more important," notes Space.com, since "Earth orbit is getting more and more crowded." In 2020, for example, fewer than 3,400 functional satellites were whizzing around our planet. Just five years later, that number has soared to about 13,000, and more spacecraft are going up all the time. Most of them belong to SpaceX. The company currently operates nearly 9,300 Starlink satellites, more than 3,000 of which have launched this year alone.

Starlink satellites avoid potential collisions autonomously, maneuvering themselves away from conjunctions predicted by available tracking data. And this sort of evasive action is quite common: Starlink spacecraft performed about 145,000 avoidance maneuvers in the first six months of 2025, which works out to around four maneuvers per satellite per month. That's an impressive record. But many other spacecraft aren't quite so capable, and even Starlink satellites can be blindsided by spacecraft whose operators don't share their trajectory data, as Nicolls noted.

And even a single collision — between two satellites, or involving pieces of space junk, which are plentiful in Earth orbit as well — could spawn a huge cloud of debris, which could cause further collisions. Indeed, the nightmare scenario, known as the Kessler syndrome, is a debris cascade that makes it difficult or impossible to operate satellites in parts of the final frontier.

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SpaceX Alleges a Chinese-Deployed Satellite Risked Colliding with Starlink

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  • by ndsurvivor ( 891239 ) on Monday December 15, 2025 @01:58AM (#65858735) Journal
    and.. Governments who believe that there is plenty, instead of believing in scarcity is needed. It is simply not so that if somebody else has something that you don't have it. It is not true if an immigrant has a job, then you don't have one. It is not true that if SpaceX has rockets, that Chinese can't have them. It is not a zero-sum game unless you think of it that way. A little bit of thought, and communication can bring plentiful bounty to many.
    • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

      by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      It's interesting that the is news. I don't recall it being a big deal when the Chinese space station had to dodge a SpaceX satellite.

      • by thesandbender ( 911391 ) on Monday December 15, 2025 @04:16AM (#65858819)
        Uh...

        - China and the US both filed a brief with the UN (some it was somewhat of a big deal)
        - Starlink did tell the State Department which apparently did not pass the information on (China doesn't seem to have notified the US in this case either)
        - The information was apparently not passed on because it wasn't deemed a risk (bad decision) - The CSS did an anti-collision burn but the Starlink satellite also did an anti-collision burn (this satellite did not)
        - The closest approach was about 1km (this satellite was 200m)

        Neither should have happened and both should be a big deal but get out of here with this "but Starlink/US" nonsense.
        https://www.thespacereview.com... [thespacereview.com]
        • To be fair the risk here is to the Chinese satellite. Starlink is mostly a bunch of low cost space junk designed with a view of quantity over quality and with one of the shortest life expectancies of anything non-living we've put into space, and with a designed to fail orbital path shorter than some kids time in highschool.

          This is not equivalent to the space station in the slightest.

  • the nightmare scenario, known as the Kessler syndrome, is a debris cascade that makes it difficult or impossible to operate satellites in parts of the final frontier.

    If Earth orbit is the final frontier, then we are fucked as a species. Did AI write that?

    • the nightmare scenario, known as the Kessler syndrome, is a debris cascade that makes it difficult or impossible to operate satellites in parts of the final frontier.

      If Earth orbit is the final frontier, then we are fucked as a species. Did AI write that?

      No.

      Kessler did.

      Any day now we’ll ignorantly validate it too.

  • What about if there is an international fee for deployment that is spent on clean-up bots? It's kind of like how cans, bottles, and electronics (some states) attach a disposal fee.

    • Well, if someone could invent something like that, it would help. So far no one has been able to.
    • Previous discussions LEO debris minimized as self de orbit in due time so would be short term though still extremely expensive Kessler scenario. Do not recall any specific time frames estimates. Could be few years of course steadily clearing as debris falls down.
  • I mean, at this point what isn't at risk of colliding with a Starlink satellite?
    • by mspohr ( 589790 )

      With over ten thousand of Starlink satellites (and 42,000 planned), I think everything up there is at risk of colliding with them. Hopefully they can keep them from colliding with each other.

  • "A SpaceX executive says a satellite deployed from a Chinese rocket risked colliding with a Starlink satellite,"

    I think it's amazing that that a Chinese satellite was bale to avoid one of Musk's 8,000+ StarLink satellites!

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