The City of the Future 274
Ponca City, We Love You writes "One century ago, many Americans still had not seen a movie or ridden in an automobile. The New York World greeted its readers on January 1, 1908 with a stirring rumination about the past and future of America: 'We may have gyroscopic trains as broad as houses swinging at 200 miles an hour up steep grades and around dizzying curves,' the newspaper said. 'We may have aeroplanes winging the once inconquerable air. The tides that ebb and flow to waste may take the place of our spent coal and flash their strength by wire to every point of need.' Today the NY Times asked ten knowledgeable New Yorkers to imagine New York City a century from today. Their visions include archaeological excavations at the Fresh Kills landfill, the waterfront at Third Avenue and Seventh Avenue, a dome over Central Park, and a virtual reality grid superimposed over the city."
Comp Sci prediction is a bit Orwellian (Score:5, Insightful)
And not surprisingly, Robin Nagle from the New York City Department of Sanitation predicts "Sanitation workers
On a lighter note for the holiday season, here are the Christmas Lights of the Future!
We are Borg. Resistance is futile ! (Score:5, Interesting)
Ken Perlin will probably be close to the mark. 100 years from now you'll be able to get regular injections that contain millions of nano tech devices. These devices will travel through the blood to parts of the body they need to work on (e.g. the brain) and then construct interfaces that link wireless information networks directly into your consciousness.
I don't think there will be implanted displays as such. Rather, you'll just received the information you request and the display will be superimposed on your eye sight via nano circuitry where the optic nerves connect to the brain. That way you can still 'see' the information you want without distractions by just closing your eyes. This scenario may sound far fetched, but it has a much greater chance of gaining traction in society if all it involves is a simple injection. No painful surgery, no mess, no fuss.
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The appendix being a natural candidate for enlargement -- especially if you don't pay your taxes on time!
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Yes and no. Yes, they'll do what we want them to (in a sense). No, because they'll be running MS Windows 2112 with "RIAA & MPAA & Disney compliance enforcement kits". So, between the daily reboots, the slowing to a crawl as you try to cross a busy street, and having your body force you to turn yourself in to the IP Police every time you mention a trademarked or copyrighted word without a license... yes, there should still be a few seconds remaining each day for the bot
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Please post the text (Score:2)
Article Text (Score:3, Informative)
The World of Tomorrow
By JIM RASENBERGER
ON Jan. 1, 1908 -- New Year's Day one century ago -- The New York World greeted readers with a stirring rumination about the past and future of America. The title of the article was simply "1808 -- 1908 -- 2008." The World began by marveling at how far America had come since 1808, then turned to the question of the future: "What will the year 2008 bring us? What marvels of development await the youth of tomorrow?"
The essay's visions were not timid. "We
Trains? (Score:3, Interesting)
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stay tuned.
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ready (Score:4, Interesting)
I've really had it with the myminicity.com crowd, and to put a stop to this nonsense I've set up a little website. [screwmyminicity.com]
Stop posting your myminicity links here and elsewhere, if myminicity.com wants to grow they can surely find a way to do it without inconveniencing others.
If you don't then I'm calling on the rest of the audience here to report those links to the site above and if they want to help a little further to place a 1 pixel image tag on their website which will give the myminicity
For starters I've placed a tag on the http://ww.com/ [ww.com] homepage, feel free to come and help.
This is just another spam wave and if this doesn't get stopped now then it will be seen as a vindication of the principle and before long there will be 100's of sites doing this.
Rewarding your users for bad behaviour has to be one of the most annoying marketing tactics that has ever been devised.
As fun as these can be (Score:5, Insightful)
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Grey. Haven't you seen _any_ sci fi movies???
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I don't know about you, but personally I hope the future doesn't include a Disco-fied New New York...
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For me (born 1975) I have my own personal periods in my past that I think that about, but nothing yet I can share with the bulk of my generation...
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A little late for this -- (Score:3, Funny)
Paleo-Future (Score:5, Interesting)
This has nothing to do with TFA per se, but if you're into this stuff you should check out the excellent blog Paleo-Future [blogspot.com], which is dedicated to "the future that never was" -- how people in various times over the last 140 years or so have thought the future would look.
Re:Paleo-Future (Score:5, Insightful)
Alas, vile greedheads interfered. As those lowbrows who are forever exclaiming about, "...if they can put a man on the moon...." Of course, they murdered the man behind that project (JFK), which killed many a future prediction and dream. Therein lies the problem.
Urban transportation in America, a pathetic pipe dream in most places - but it could have been realized many, many years ago. As that House Select Committee Investigation, back in 1974, demonstrated, General Motors, Firestone and Sun Oil conspired to curtail any valid and optimal urban and exurban transportation systems throughout America as they wish to sell tires, large vehicles running on gas (buses) and oil.
Can anyone seriously ponder any predictions of the future given the imbeciles currently being elected as president? Given the criminals being currently elected to VP? SecDef? SecState?
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Just a bit down on the future, aren't they? (Score:4, Insightful)
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I thought the New York World did a pretty good job of it back in 1908.
rd
Energy crisis (Score:5, Interesting)
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And to clarify things those hundreds of millions of people will die in a short period of time (a few years)
and of course not during a 100-year-period.
Already wrong (Score:4, Interesting)
The cheapest form of Energy widely available today is coal, providing the majority of electrical power in the United States. It produces power as cheaply as $0.05 per watt, a rate that has now been matched by Solar power. [slashdot.org] Nicely enough, solar power is at its peak right at the same time that energy use is at its peak, (during hot, sunny days!) so the usual complaints about "peak load" are largely mitigated.
Combine that with our improved efficiencies of everything from lights to household heating, and the effect is magnified.
I predict that energy will be cheaper in 2050 per KWH than today. Nonetheless, technologies that save power will be in far greater use than they are today, simply because the cost of being efficient is also dropping. We're moving from an economy of scarcity to an economy of plenty, and one of the first industries to be hit by this is the recording industry.
Technology is advancing, and is continuing to advance, driven by the combination of cheap resources, a highly refined economic / capital investment system, and a generally well-educated population. Now, the interconnectedness of internet-based technologies takes the whole dynamic of education and technology and kicks it into hyperdrive.
There will be many challenges, of that I am certain. But I'm equally certain that we'll face the challenges faster than they accumulate. Technology continues to advance the power of the able, and meet the needs of the weak.
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Imagine by 2028 every stand-alone house or condominium complex having large-scale electric solar cell arrays on the roof, with excess energy storage using carbon-nanotube supercapacitor "battery packs." Because all the solar power generation is connected by distributed power generation, any excess of power generated during the daytime can be
Re:Energy crisis (Score:5, Informative)
Dude, there's no shortage of energy and I say that as a fully paid up peak oil convert.
We're surrounded by energy. Once natural oil production starts to slide (and I can believe that'll happen in 0-5 years, if not before) we can and probably will replace it with coal-to-liquids technology, which is crap for global warming but does solve the problem of powering our food trucks.
It's an open question what will happen after that. Our investment in petroleum based propulsion is gigantic. It's lockin on a far bigger scale than Windows ever was. Even relatively minor changes like ethanol have problems with things like pipeline incompatability. Bigger changes like going to all-electric cars are thrown around without thinking through the costs.
Personally, I wouldn't be surprised at all if in 2108 we're still using cars powered by petroleum. Not petroleum that we suck out of the ground with hi-tech straws of course. That'll probably end in the next 50 years. Probably, either petroleum manufactured from biomass [ls9.com] or extracted directly from the air and water [newscientist.com] (CO from the air, H from electrolysis, CO + H == syngas, input to the fischer-trope process). Petrol is amazingly energy dense, easy to transport and we have very hundreds of millions (billions?) of vehicles deployed that use it already ..... carbon-neutral renewable petroleum? What's not to like?
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I concur. But, the problem isn't just energy. Thinking of peak oil? What about peak metals Copper is already getting pretty thin. Not only that, the copper for our today's use has to be 99.95% pure [basemetals.com]. Zinc is on the list, too. The estimate is that there is 26% of Earth's copper bound in non-recyclable state (ie. landfills) and about 19% for zinc. Some estimates [sciam.com] mention total depletion in 100yrs [scienceagogo.com].
I guess we're l
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Cheap and expensive are relative terms. We will have plenty of energy at a little higher rate than being paid now, in other words a little higher than bottled water or Gatorade.
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This seems quite counter-intuitive. Look at all countries on the Earth and compare two variables: birth rate vs. energy consumption. I think you'll find that population growth has little need for energy, as long as you can produce enough food. Food is all solar powered, and we keep improving food production technologies.
Food production is strongly dependent on fossil fuels. One of the largest uses of worldwide oil production goes into producing the fertilizers that provide for the levels of farming that
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As a Geographer and 5 generation New Yorker (Score:2, Insightful)
Where's the pessimism? (Score:2)
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Here's how it works: You get the experts together, opine on the "100 years in the future" scenario, and then you know positively what won't happen.
Will the "action" be here? (Score:4, Insightful)
Having visited Shanghai just last month and I must say I was very very impressed. Traffic lights, the weather, the transport system were all on track to be more modern as compared to what we have here in New York.
Sadly, the status quo here in New York will not change anytime soon, and that will seal our fate mainly because of corruption.
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And remember
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In 2108 the "DRM war" will have resulted in a messy, inconclusive draw with neither "side" obviously winning.
Music will be completely DRM free, and mostly sold by artists themselves direct from their websites using whatever the codec-de-jure is. URLs to simple "how to pay" files will be embedded using stenography into the audio itself, imperceptible to the human ear but easily decoded by peoples web-phones whether they are heard on the radio, in clubs, live, at a friends house etc. Paying for music won't
The real NYC (Score:2, Insightful)
View of New York in 100 years (Score:2, Insightful)
Very good multimedia presentation of what New York will look like in the near and far future if we would just leave it alone.
http://www.worldwithoutus.com/multimedia.html [worldwithoutus.com]
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A forgotten city (Score:5, Insightful)
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Vote Ron Paul 2008: When the fleet-footed ones come, will you be ready?
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2) A truly "global" society probably will cause most of the major races will blend together. Because of the current population distribution, and the way in which skin pigmentation genes work, this will probably result in the end of your beloved aryan race. All in all, we'll sunburn less easily..... and that's about it. It'll take hundreds of years, and really.... who cares?
3) If the economic cent
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Cheer up, it's a nice future!
No beliefs would have to disappear along the way. Beliefs are not encoded in genes.
Escape from New York (Score:3, Funny)
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And the carved quote would read, "President of what?" or possibly, "What did you do to me asshole?"
It's been done already! (Score:2)
Some "futures" that DID come to pass (Score:4, Interesting)
I remember thinking this was utter nonsense, because, based on the price of photocells, relays, iconoscope tubes, or whatever it would have taken to do this circa 1950 or 1960, it didn't seem within the range of credibility that this would be economically feasible... especially given the low cost of electricity (and the expectation that nuclear power plants would soon make electricity "too cheap to meter.")
2) Google is not really equivalent to Isaac Asimov's Multivac, but it is a recognizable approximation. You do type in questions... in natural language if you like, Google is smart enough to ignore the extra words!--and it does draw on a huge worldwide base of human knowledge and present "answers" in direct, human readable form.
3) Flat TV you can hang on a wall. For a good five decades, Popular Science and the like were trumpeting invention after invention that was going to make it possible to have "flat TV you can hang on a wall." (One was a very shallow CRT, only a few inches deep, with an electron gun that fired in from the side and electromagnetic fields that deflected the beam toward the phosphor...) This hung fire for so long I thought I would never see it in my lifetime.
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5) Mobile phones. Talk to anyone from just about anywhere, whenever you want
6) LED lighting. Christmas lights this year were totally over the top. The lights you can attach to your person or your home are no longer limited by light globe technology or cost
re 2) The web really goes beyond anything projected for IT in the past. Few writers envisaged a situation where anybody could publish pretty much any media from pretty much an
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I think H. G. Wells' 1938 book World Brain had a few flashes of partial anticipation of the Internet in gener
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A Vast Virtual World (Score:2)
Everybody will absolutely be connected to everything at all times. You think the cel
NYC in 100 years will be similar but different (Score:4, Interesting)
This doesn't mean disaster - it just means "poorer" by our standards. People will still live rich colourful lives. But they'll do it on 2000 calories a day, if that.
RS
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RS
Jim Cramer is a lunatic, but probably right (Score:5, Funny)
Ex-president Chelsea Clinton's granddaughter will be running for president against a Saudi prince whose last name is Bush. American Idol will still have more voters and generate more interest than the presidential election. Canada and Mexico will complain about US citizens illegaly immigrating to their countries.
The New England Patriots will be working on a 1900 game winning streak, and Bill Belichek's head will be in a jar on the sidelines. Athletes will be grown in axoltl tanks. A new Slashdot ID will be a very large number. Windows 2108 will be late, bloated and buggy. The Linux kernel will still be licensed as GPL v2, and will be at version 2.6.something.
Apple will issue an update to the iPhone that breaks the hacks that let people install third party applications. Time Machine will let you restore files you haven't created yet. My iMac will be getting its 2000th logic board replacement.
This post will have been moderated into oblivion, but my clone will still think it was funny.
Don't universally agree. (Score:2)
everyone's eyes will be implanted with tiny displays
While I agree that ubiquitous HUD is not an unlikely thing, I personally doubt implantation would be the path. If you can implant it, I would wager a more popular and equally effective method would be contact lens display or glasses. The only possible advantage of implantation would be greater flexibility with respect to power delivery, but power consumption/storage technology would probably make it a moot concern, with lenses charging quickly for up to many-day concurrent usage.
I also doubt you'd be lo
It all depends on energy (Score:4, Insightful)
If we don't find a new energy source to replace fossil fuels, industrial civilization won't last another century.
Since the Industrial Revolution, there's been a new major power source at least once every fifty years. Until the last fifty.
Think about it. In 1800, everything was human or animal powered, except for a windmill or waterwheel here and there, and a few wood-burning Newcomen steam engines pumping away. By 1850, the European countries and the United States had substantial railroad systems, and coal and steam powered factories. By 1900, most major cities had electric lights and street cars, and gasoline engine powered cars were starting to appear. By 1950, petroleum powered everything mobile, gas turbines powered aircraft, and nuclear power was just starting to work.
So what do we have now that we didn't have fifty years ago? Solar cells were demonstrated in 1954. The first commercial nuclear reactor started up in December 1957. Sputnik I had been launched. Megawatt-scale windmills had been tried (1941), but weren't worth the trouble in an era of cheap oil. Oil had been found in the Middle East. Natural gas was being moved through long pipelines. Even ethanol from corn had been tried. Every major energy source we have today was working in 1957. Nothing new and big enough to matter has come along since.
In the 1970s, there was hope that Government spending via the Department of Energy would yield something. Didn't work. In the 1980s, there was hope that the free market would yield some solution. Didn't happen.
What's actually happening is that all the old ideas that used to be too expensive are now competitive with oil. There's oil from tar sands. Deep offshore drilling. Ethanol from corn. Wind farms. Solar panels. At $100/bbl, these all look good. But energy is expensive from here on.
The real difference between 1908 and 2008 ... (Score:5, Insightful)
In 1908, the sky seemed the limit and the predictions tended to focus on new, marvelous machines and how they would make life better for all.
In 2008, it's not so much about the technology or science but about how so few are wealthy and the general feeling is that we are on the edge of a long hard decline. The only upshot beeing that we'll somehow continue to have cutting edge tech.
Is it just me or are people genuinely very worried, frightened and so deeply unhappy with world affairs to the point that they think it's just crap from here on out and we should welcome an age of mechanized oppression?
To say no US Citizen would be able to afford to live in NYC while Oil Barons owned entire burroughs is complete and utter BS in my book.
It reeks of weakness and apathy. The same weakness and apathy that brings us all the people who whine and cry about Bush and his administration yet fail to do anything about it. The same weakness and apathy that has Americans crying about Global Warming, but they all shut their faces about it when they go home to waste several hundred kilowatts watching Survivor and American Idol.
This was supposed to be a dreamy piece, about "what if" and where "anything" could happen. What do we get? Hit over the head with "FAIL FAIL FAIL" again and again throughout the article. Not one prediciton was positive, each was somehow foreseeing a darker future where we are all worse off except the monied elite. From these predictions, it seems people have given up and the future they are grateful to accept is one where Asia leads and we just consume their tech and get whatever kind of living they give us.
Pretty sad if you ask me.
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Re:America in 2108... (Score:5, Interesting)
- America will be a mainly Spanish speaking country
- Marriage will be almost non-existent
- Government will be "responsible" for all the care-and-feeding of the large majority of the population,
and will meet these responsibilities through ever-increasing taxation of the ever-shrinking productive members of society
- The military will be a small shadow of its former self
All of these trends are very evident today, have been gaining momentum in the past 20 years, and show no sign of abating. No serious person can say with any validity that the America of today (2008) is more religious than the America of 1908, and to imply that religion is ascendent in American society today is pure BS. In fact, the opposite is demonstrably true. The military is undeniably in decline, as is the "nuclear family". And demographics clearly point towards a majority Spanish speaking population mid-next century. None of these points is really arguable.
Welcome to the future of America.
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As regards a majority Spanish-speaking population, this is the best reference I could track down. It doesn't explicitly validate my claim since it only looks ahead 50
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Trends change (Score:2)
None of these points is really arguable.
Except that trends to change, and often rather suddenly.
For example, the United States is now entering the most severe recession [rgemonitor.com] since the Great Depression. Hispanics migrants never really wanted to leave their home countries; economic necessity made them head north. Due to the recession there's less work, they're sending less money home, and a few have started heading back to where they came from.
Mexicans sending less money home, studies find [azstarnet.com]
More indications that money flow slowing to Mexico [azstarnet.com]
Mexicans Miss [nytimes.com]
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Re:America in 2108... (Score:4, Funny)
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Yup, the largest military budget in the world, a bigger budget than the rest of the world combined will have to shrink, or our entire economy will be directed towards the military.
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If not, let me interpret it for you. It shows that military spending as a percent of GDP has dropped over 100% in the last 50 years. There is a brief uptick in 2005-2006 due to the Iraq war, but the longterm trend is steadily and undeniably down. Any fool half paying attention would easily notice that our military even in the last 20 years has shrunk dramatically. If you don't b
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Of course not. It's hard to argue with "statistically verifiable trends" you've pulled straight out of your ass.
Re:America in 2108... (Score:5, Funny)
Does Bizarro Superman post on backslash dot?
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None of these points is really arguable.
True, but only if you refuse to have a rational argument.
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It was supposed to be 100 years from now, not next year.
rd
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Not true... I know AOL (believe it or not) had this on target at least 10 years ago. It just stayed on the shelf for unspecified reasons. (read: couldn't figure out how to make it simple enough for the consumer, and couldn't figure out how to market it appropriately)
But they did foresee it, and I'm sure many other companies did as well.
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All of those things, with the possible exception of Google, were predicted 10 years ago. People have been talking about things like VoIP (which is really just a re-invention of digital phone networks that already exist), broadband video on demand, multi-core CPUs etc way longer than ten years ago. It was predicted by many people that clock speeds would hit a wall due to physical constraints, and would have to go multi-core, back in the 80s.
Google is a more interesting case. I think the value of a "univers
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Well yeah, but if it's true that somebody predicted ubiquitous mobile phones in 1908 then that's damn impressive, and suggests that the future isn't as opaque as we often think it is.
In 1908, hardly anybody even had landlines, the mobile phone was still 70 years away from invention and the idea of ubiquitous portable technology hadn't really taken hold yet. Today we take miniaturization for granted but in 1908 nobody had invented integrated circuits or the microchip. To predict mobile phones that far in a
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Well, perhaps. That's the conventional view. But in the last few years we've seen something unexpected ... that when you have gigantic amounts of data, statistical approaches can work very well.
If I want an answer to a question, chances are, I can find it on Google (or another search engine). Google doesn't "understand" things, it just does very very large and complex statistical analyses of a giant dumping ground for words. Despite that, it works, most of the time.
I think you should try the new Google
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I started off having google translate what I want to say into spanish, then use the other tab to translate it back to english. That provides a basic sanity check.
Before the change, I learned how to mangle my english to get a better result out of the translator. I knew what to write in e
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Given that the majority of American industries are now majority foreign-owned; the US Treasury technically went backrupt back in 2003, the economy - when one subtracts the ever increasing debt which is figured into the GDP stats - has actually been shrinking over the preceding seven years; the exponential increase every year of the number of American jobs being offshored (that's what the numbers demonstrate and I follow the numbers, not Business Week nor The
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You forgot the roaches. There will always be roaches.
Especially in NYC.
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About 2000 years ago someone named John made some predictions. According to him, NY among the other cites of the world will some day experience this:
"And there was a great earthquake, such as has not been since men were on the earth, so mighty and so great an earthquake. And the great city came to be into three parts, and the cities of the nations fell." (Revelation 18:18-19)
A 50-100 mile diameter asteroid striking the earth would ma
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Nah. Mandarin.
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Tsai boo shr! That's just fahng-tzong fung-kwong duh jeh.
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