Watson Wins Jeopardy Contest 674
NicknamesAreStupid writes "The word is in, Watson beats the two best Jeopardy players. Sure, it cost IBM four years and millions of dollars and requires a room full of hardware. In thirty years it will all fit in your pocket and cost $19.99. Resistance is futile; you will be trivialized."
AI Winter (Score:2)
Re:AI Winter (Score:5, Insightful)
Yes, the natural language processing is impressive. But it takes a really huge computer, and it's really nothing more than a bunch of clever software along with a database of trivia.
Watson showed very clearly how deeply it did not "understand" anything about what it was doing, via the nature of the blunders that it did make.
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Re:AI Winter (Score:4, Insightful)
Watson is still just following a fixed set of rules
So are you. We call it physics.
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Re:AI Winter (Score:5, Insightful)
Ah the forever shifting goalposts of AI.
http://www.dansdata.com/gz107.htm [dansdata.com]
""A machine will never be able to read the written word."
"A machine will never understand speech."
"A machine will never be able to look at something and figure out what 3D shape it is."
"A machine will never drive a car."
"A machine will never play chess."
"A machine will never play chess well."
"A machine will never beat a chess Grandmaster."
"A machine will never beat my favourite chess Grandmaster."
Go back far enough and you can find people making these same sorts of predictions about tasks that seem simple today. Arithmetic, algebra, spell-checking - all were clearly Things Only the Mind of Man (and of a Few Unusually Intelligent Women, Bless 'Em) Could Ever Do."
"But a funny thing always happens, right after a machine does whatever it is that people previously declared a machine would never do. What happens is, that particular act is demoted from the rarefied world of "artificial intelligence", to mere "automation" or "software engineering".
Apparently, you see, when they said "a machine will never be able to spot-weld a car together", they meant to say "a machine will never be aware that it's welding a car together". So all of those production-line robots aren't actually a triumph of artificial intelligence at all, any more than aircraft autopilots or optical character recognition or the square-root button on a calculator - which, after all, merely duplicated a perfectly obvious slide-rule operation - are.
But don't worry. Once someone comes up with a computer that can carry on an intelligent IM chat with you, that'll be proper AI. (And a machine will never do it, of course!)"
Now of course we can cross off "A machine will never be able to beat the champion at jeopardy"
but of course that's trivial really.... and look at the mistakes it made while beating one of the best human players. obviously since it made odd mistakes it isn't really a triumph of AI.
Re:AI Winter (Score:5, Insightful)
Shifting goal post? Uh I'm pretty sure the goal post has always been the Turing Test, and that was set before computers were invented.
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No human except me has ever understood speech.
prove me wrong.
And before you prove me wrong first read about the Problem Of Other Minds.
Re:AI Winter (Score:4, Funny)
... really nothing more than a bunch of clever software along with a database of trivia.
Why do you hate Ken Jennings?
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The other thing Watson showed by its mistakes is that its AI still lacks understanding and intelligence.
Often it's your wrong answers that show how much you really understand.
http://www.csmonitor.com/Innovation/Latest-News-Wires/2011/0215/On-Jeopardy-Watson-s-mistakes-reveal-its-genius [csmonitor.com]
Clue: It was this anatomical oddity of US gymnast George Eyser.
Ken Jennings' answer: Missing a hand (wrong)
Watson's answer: leg (wrong)
Correct answer: Missing a leg
And the "Toronto":
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/life/the-hot- [theglobeandmail.com]
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Re:AI Winter (Score:4, Informative)
Watson's answer was correct - he just didn't phrase it the way they want.
Ah, but the whole point of Watson was that it understand the nuances of human language. Context, phrasing, and so forth.
And technically, the answer was wrong -- there was nothing wrong with the gymnist's leg. It was that one leg was missing that was the problem.
Re:AI Winter (Score:5, Insightful)
It shows what Watson does is still at a search engine level.
Contrast with Jennings' incorrect answer: "missing a hand".
Both don't know the answer and are guessing, but they are guessing at different levels.
I suspect in most cases Watson doesn't know the answer and is guessing - it has a lot of raw data and is very very good at sorting and filtering. But it does not have a very good model of the world that the Jeopardy game is about.
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But it doesn't illustrate the GP's point. It doesn't illustrate a particular lack of understanding or intelligence and certainly isn't support for the post he responded to that there is no real AI at work.
Making a technical mistake that is often made by the human contestants indicates sophisticated intelligence. Just like an IQ test, often giving the same wrong answer that other highly intelligent individuals gave will result in a better score than actually giving the correct answer.
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no.. Watson didn't understand that HAVING a leg is not peculiar. Watson missed the negative, not the "phrasing in the form of a question"
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It does it if makes them for the same reason.
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You just failed Parrots 101, too. [wikipedia.org] They're hardly mindless mimics.
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The Battle of Okinawa
Oshawa Airport
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billy_Bishop [wikipedia.org]
Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport
Air Marshal William Avery "Billy" Bishop VC, CB, DSO & Bar, MC, DFC, ED (8 February 1894 – 11 September 1956) was a Canadian First World War flying ace, officially credited with 72 victories, making him the top Canadian ace, and according to some sources, the top ace of the British Empire.
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"Your brain is nothing more than a bunch of clever software with a database of trivia..."
Not only do we not know this, there is a good bit of evidence to the contrary. The human brain is not anything like the computers we build today, except to say that they can both "compute", to varying degrees.
But even if you did believe that they worked in fundamentally the same way, THIS article [arstechnica.com] from just the other day claims that the best estimate so far is that all the computing power in the world today, including Watson, Deep Blue, all the Crays, desktops, and all the way down to cell phones, added t
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The human brain is not anything like the computers we build today, except to say that they can both "compute", to varying degrees.
You are arguing that because the hardware of a computer is nothing like the hardware of a human that this supports your point, but it doesnt. It is only if the software running on the computer was nothing like the software of a human that you would have a point.
All of todays CPU's are universal turing machine, and that fact negates every single hardware argument. We've heard this all before, from people saying that current computers arent fast enough to simulate the human brain (your arstechnica link mak
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" THIS article from just the other day"
What the hell.
this is complete bullshit.
utter utter bullshit.
"Our total storage capacity is the same as an adult human's DNA. And there are several billion humans on the planet. "
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_genome [wikipedia.org]:
3 billion DNA base pairs
even storing it in plain text without compression that's only 3 gigabytes.
my external hard drive could store that 1000 times over.
"the 6.4*10^18 instructions per second that human kind can carry out "
6.4*10^18=
640000000000000000
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Every pair of neurons in the brain is not interconnected. At a high end estimate, Each neuron is connected to at most 200K other neurons. This greatly simplifies the problem.
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Ahem: http://www.physorg.com/news/2011-02-neurobiologists-weak-electrical-fields-brain.html [physorg.com]
The brain may be more than just a squishy neural network.
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Actually, computing power grows exponentially [wikipedia.org].
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I like your motor vehicle-body comparison.
But to match it to what people say about AI remember to include hordes of people insisting that motor vehicles are no use because they
"can't galop like a horse"
and
"what would you even do with one which could travel as far or fast as a horse, surely it would just take as much hay to feed and would get angry just as much."
really all the fuss about the internal combustion engine is just a waste of time an effort.
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Could it be? (Score:5, Funny)
Does Ken Jennings read Slashdot comments?
Re:Could it be? (Score:5, Insightful)
If he is a slashdot user then he reads the comments, but certainly not TFA. Given his Jeopardy record, It is apparent that he DOES in fact RTFA. Therefore, I concur with 90% confidence that Ken Jennings is not a slashdot reader.
Re:Could it be? (Score:4, Informative)
no but Watson does.
Skynet (Score:2)
Ding!
What --- who shall I say, who --- is Watson?
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More like HAL, I mean IBM is only 1 letter way on each.
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It's when they start teaching it to eat that we have a huge problem... because then it will be "Alimentary, my dear Watson".
Thankyou, thankyou. I'll be here all week, make sure to tip your waitress.
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Thankyou, thankyou. I'll be here all week, make sure to tip your waitress.
She is a cow, and that is a pastime in my part of the country...
Waton's Wagering and HAL 9000 (Score:2)
I tuned in for the end. One thing I'm very curious about is how Watson decided how much to wager for the daily doubles and Final Jeopardy. I haven't seen much discussion of these, but it seemed from the numbers it was giving that it had some set of heuristics to decide how much to wager based on how much money it had, the amount of of money the other contestants had, and possibly (not sure about this) its confidence in the category type. The Final Jeopardy category was 19th century novels, which seems to b
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It was probably intentional that they did not give it a realistic, human-sounding voice. Research has shown that people do not want machines to appear too human. They react negatively.
[citation needed]
[Star Trek and Asimov references don't count]
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Its theory, but still.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncanny_valley [wikipedia.org]
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It was probably intentional that they did not give it a realistic, human-sounding voice. Research has shown that people do not want machines to appear too human. They react negatively.
[citation needed]
[Star Trek and Asimov references don't count]
Actually, I think humans DO want robots that appear very human, and have wanted them for hundreds of years. I'd also put it to you that humans do and have, in fact, reacted in certain positive ways towards machines that appear human.
The dame de voyage (French) or dama de viaje (Spanish) was a direct predecessor to today's sex dolls that originated in the seventeenth century. Dames de voyage were makeshift fornicatory dolls made of sewn cloth or old clothes, used by French and Spanish sailors while isolated at sea during long voyages.
-- Ferguson, Anthony. The Sex Doll: A History. McFarland, 2010 [google.com]
One of the earliest recorded appearances of manufactured sex dolls dates to 1908, in Iwan Bloch's The Sexual Life of Our Time. Bloch wrote:
In this connection we may refer to fornicatory acts effected with artificial imitations of the human body, or of individual parts of that body. There exist true Vaucansons in this province of pornographic technology, clever mechanics who, from rubber and other plastic materials, prepare entire male or female bodies, which, as hommes or dames de voyage, subserve fornicatory purposes. More especially are the genital organs represented in a manner true to nature. Even the secretion of Bartholin's glans is imitated, by means of a "pneumatic tube" filled with oil. Similarly, by means of fluid and suitable apparatus, the ejaculation of the semen is imitated. Such artificial human beings are actually offered for sale in the catalogue of certain manufacturers of "Parisian rubber articles.
-- Bloch, Iwan. The Sexual Life of Our Time [google.com]
So, yeah, it may be a bit taboo to some people, but not admitting to your family that your girlfriend is a Nexus 6 doesn't count as "reacting negatively" to the idea of h
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The IBM Research blog has had a few good articles about Watson over the past few days, including one about wagering:
http://ibmresearchnews.blogspot.com/2011/02/watsons-wagering-strategies.html [blogspot.com]
I didn't think that Final Jeopardy would have been especially easy for Watson. The majority of the clue was indirectly related to the correct response, and the connection hinged on a single word (inspired). I suspect Jennings' behavior was based more on simple arithmetic than on any assumptions about Watson's response.
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Here [blogspot.com] is a post on Waton's wagering by IBM Research.
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Jennings realized that Watson had won, but not due to the easy nature of the final Jeopardy question. Watson already had the game won before Final Jeopardy. Had Ken doubled his score with his wager and Watson got Final Jeopardy wrong, Watson still would have won by $1.
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Jennings realized that Watson had won since combined with the first day Watson had an insurmountable lead. Jennings betting strategy even before seeing the question was to play for second. For what its worth I didn't know the final jeopardy question...
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My impression is that the wagering isn't influenced by the category but only its standing against the other players, at least for Final Jeopardy where it didn't have the benefit of seeing previous responses in the category. I thought it funny that they decided not to round the wagers to more typically human choices. That was certainly deliberate on the developers' part.
I also thought it was interesting that the only category the humans swept was the one asking for the directors of movies. These were simple
It can beat Ken Jennings at Jeopardy, but... (Score:2)
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We still have a long way to go despite how far we've come.
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But it may be able to answer a lot of questions asked by, say, a phone support caller. Most human interactions of use to business aren't essays. They're small question and answer sessions, going back and forth. If a computer can do that even marginally we have no more need for India, which can't do it well either but at least the computer is a sunk cost.
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As ken said: (Score:3, Interesting)
I for one welcome our new computer overload.
Wasn't this taped awhile ago (Score:2)
For some reason I was under the impression that this had already occurred but is just now being aired. And IIRC, it was already known that Watson won. So why is this news? Or, I'm a precog and should have made some money on this :)
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It still needs a lot of work... (Score:2)
I have to admit, it was pretty impressive as that is a fairly non-trivial computational problem of n
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I think it's more about the fast nature of the game and the time it would take to type it out.
Fast on the clicker (Score:3)
I didn't watch it all, but the thing I noticed was that, when Watson thought it had an answer, most of the time it'd click in first. The other contestants didn't have a chance to attempt to answer.
So Watson wins on reaction time, which isn't a surprise for a computer that knows exactly when it can first ring in. How would it have done with a human's reaction time on clicking, just answering on questions alone?
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One interesting thing to note is that Watson was tied (on Monday) or behind (today) after the Jeopardy round and pulled ahead (way ahead yesterday) in the Double Jeopardy round, where the questions are harder. That's not what you'd expect if its competitors knew all the answers and it was winning on ring-in speed alone.
In any case, Watson was playing Jeopardy, and ringing in is a part of Jeopardy. Rutter and especially Jennings certainly benefited from that part of the game during their long winning runs. W
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Watson was able to "hear" their responses. It made one blunder in the game, repeating Jennings' answer, because it failed to recognize that the 20s and the 1920s are the same decade.
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The part I find most amusing is the irony that Watson's speed on the buzzer seems directly attributable to the handicap it was given vis-a-vis not having to do the audio-speech and visual-text AI recognition that its human opponents had to do. The irony being that those two allegedly mature areas of AI research are ones in which IBM has been shipping commercial products for years. I suspect that if Watson had to do such processing, it would have been slaughtered just as bad as it slaughtered its opponents
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From that page:
"They're not waiting for the light to come on," Welty said; rather, the human players try to time their buzzer presses so that they're coming in as close as possible to the light. Though Watson's reaction times are faster than a human, Welty noted that Watson has to wait for the light.
There's more to it than that, also -- it's often the case that Watson isn't sure it has the right answer, and you're penalized for wrong answers. Also, I'm not positive, but I think I saw in some of the trial runs that there were a few cases it actually was slower than a human -- where it came up with the right answer, eventually, but humans beat it easily to the buzzer. I'm not sure if that's the case, but I can definitely believe it -- there's a lot of stuff to sort through, and they're run
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Actually, based on the article you linked, Watson does have an advantage on the buzzer. The human players have to guess when the light will come on and try to press right afterward - one instant early and your buzzer is disabled. The computer can "see" the light come on and press immediately. It's reaction time is likely measured in microseconds. You try timing a button press to come in during a 100 microsecond window.
If they were interested in a good game, they should have designed it to simulate a typ
Re:Fast on the clicker (Score:4, Interesting)
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30 years? Try 5 or 10. (Score:2)
It's not going to take 30 years for that system to fit in your pocket and cost $20. It's going to take 5 or 10.
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Even assuming Moore's Law holds, it's roughly $1-2 billion. Now, it looks like Moore said 2 years, but let's be generous and assume 18 months -- 10 years is 120 months, 120/18 is roughly 6.67 iterations of Moore's Law -- let's be generous and round up to 7.
2**7 is 128. So assuming it stays exactly the same size, the very best you can expect is $1 billion / 128 = $7,812,500. Could software save it? Maybe, if you expect software to get 390,625 times faster.
I can't find much on the dimensions, but it's a room-
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I think a better method than a back-of-the envelope calculation like you've made there is to instead look at the amount of space now occupied by a system as powerful as a room-sized setup in 2001. Unfortunately, I don't have any good room-sized setups from 2001 to use as an example.
Secondly, you are ignoring a few factors. One is that cost isn't an issue. Most of the cost of Watson was likely in software. The software has been made now. Another copy costs absolutely nothing to make. Another is that there a
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Again, you'd have to expect the software to get many times faster.
I don't think that's an unreasonable assumption though, parsing a natural sentence into computer logic seems like a very hard problem. Languages are full of idiosyncrasies, ambiguities, implied context, fuzzy definitions and subtly changing meaning.
Let's for example take "named after", and that you can properly parse the sentence to find "name" is a transitive verb and "after" is a preposition. That narrows it down to 5 and 12 meanings respectively:
tr.v. named, namÂing, names
1. To give a name to: named
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It's not going to take 30 years for that system to fit in your pocket and cost $20. It's going to take 5 or 10.
Why 5 or 10? Devices as fast and sophisticated as the supercomputers of 2006 or 2001 are not available pocket-sized or for $20 today.
Who's the real winner? (Score:2, Interesting)
What I mean is, what IBM products will be the beneficiary of the tech they developed to make Watson; DB/2? WebSphere? You've gotta think that the IBM execs only agreed to go forward with this whole thing with some thought to being able to leverage it in other products.
Personally, I've love to think this was a "pure research" thing, but I doubt anyone really does that anymore (though I hope I'm wrong).
I couldn't help but notice that I was right... (Score:3)
That said, I don't want to dismiss the natural language recognition capabilities of Watson. They are no small feat, and by all rights, the designers of it should be congratulated on this effort. Nevertheless, with respect to the game of Jeopardy, I remain convinced that Watson's key advantage over the other players was that it is essentially a super-fast speed reader, having a few moments to pontificate the clue before any human could possibly be finished reading it. If the text of the clue had been transmitted to Watson more slowly to approximate the menial task of reading, I think it might have been a better indicator of whether or not Watson was actually out-thinking Brad and Ken. A speed I think would be appropriate to transmit the text of the clue at is about the same as what you'd get with a 14,400 bps modem, which still would amount to insanely fast speed reading, but it's at least within an order of magnitude of what is humanly achievable. Then, the amount of time that Watson has to think about the clue gets a lot closer to how much time the other players get to think about it. As it sits, Watson gets to start trying to parse the entire sentence before any human has even finished reading the first word.
Of course, I don't think that Deep Blue really out-played Kasparov on a level playing field either... I would be far more impressed if they could design a chess-playing computer that only considers a few hundred board combinations and still plays at a grandmaster level, since that is all that even the best human grandmasters do.
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Kinda missing the point (Score:5, Insightful)
Who cares, if Watson's artificial reflexes gave it a few milliseconds' advantage on the buzzer? Who even cares if it'd take it a second longer to read the clue via OCR? So what if Watson would be 5% faster or 10% slower, if conditions were slightly different? Moore's Law makes that level of difference utterly irrelevant - in 18 months time, Watson will be *100% faster* (or even today, if IBM just threw more hardware at it).
Deep Blue vs Kasparov was fascinating at the time, but is uninteresting now for the same reason. A decent desktop PC can play at that level. And comparing human vs machine play styles is also largely pointless, in the same way that comparing birds and jets is pointless.
The important part, by far, is that Watson parsed the questions, linked the clues and searched for statistically relevant answers in a human-like time. The amazing fact is, it can actually do it *at all*. Now that today's systems can do this sort of language parsing and information retrieval in a "reasonable" time, it will be increasingly trivial for tomorrow's. It is now all but inevitable that we will have Watson-like systems available to the public, in numerous fields, in corporations and on the web, in your PCs and even your game consoles, in a brief handful of years.
We do know that... (Score:3)
...it was us that scorched the sky...
Underwhelming achievement (Score:3, Insightful)
Various media articles have made clear that Watson has no visual or auditory input. Presumably Watson is receiving a direct digital feed of the tournament questions (oops, answers, I forgot this is Jeopardy). That alone gives Watson a huge timing advantage over the human competitors, who must (effectively) perform voice recognition and OCR to process the clues. On top of that, Watson has the computer-controlled ability to buzz in in four milliseconds, again giving it a huge advantage over the humans, and one that has nothing to do with AI.
Buzzer timing and strategy is a highly significant part of the game of Jeopardy. Given its direct digital feed and its internal computer clock, Watson is not playing this part of the game by the same rules as the humans. Thus, it's not fair to say that Watson wins a "Jeopardy" contest -- Watson has a huge unnatural advantage. In effect, Watson is not playing the same game as what we normally call "Jeopardy." A real Jeopardy contestant has to use eyes and ears and hands in addition to brain.
To be clear, I do think Watson is a worthy achievement. But this feeling is overshadowed by my constant annoyance at the media and others who incorrectly label this achievement as somehow winning a game of Jeopardy.
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Jeopardy does seem an odd demonstration here. The remarkable thing is not how well the bear dances, but that it dances at all. If it had taken 15 seconds to find the answer I'd have been just as impressed. An order of magnitude in performance is just a matter of waiting a few years.
Certainly, it gets a lot more attention this way, which is presumably the point. But I'm not quite sure about attention for what, since it's not a product you can buy. I'm not aware of any productization plans.
It's good mark
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Ken Jennings is getting $150000 (plus $150000 to his charity), while the producers of Jeopardy are getting a lot more viewers (and therefore a lot more advertising money).
Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)
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http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1937158&cid=34769294 [slashdot.org]
Re:Underwhelming achievement (Score:5, Insightful)
Correction: competitors must perform voice recognition or OCR to process the clues. The clues are displayed and read, and the contestants are free to ignore either form, if they wish. Similarly, Watson could have had a camera trained on the monitor and performed OCR on the clue. But, given that OCR has been done brilliantly by computers for years now, would adding that into the mix have made much difference at all?
Regarding ringing in, the contestants also get a signal indicating when they can do it, but it's visual. It would have been easy enough to add another camera trained on the light, but why bother?
The engineers involved were trying to solve the interesting problems. Delivering input to each contestant in the most convenient form doesn't seem like much of a concession.
It's just people whining (Score:5, Insightful)
They miss the real point: That a computer could do a level of natural language processing that was impossible before. They get caught up on bitching about how it wasn't "perfectly fair" or the computer "didn't act just like a human." No, it didn't it is a computer and that was never the point. The point was to try and develop a system that could process a natural language question and extract an accurate answer. It does this amazingly well, better than anything before by leaps and bounds.
The choice of Jeopardy as a medium was for two reasons:
1) It is a ready made challenging format. It is something that is not well suited for a computer or designed for it in any way, and there is a lot of data to work with. Made it a good choice as something to work on designing and testing for.
2) It is a good exhibition/publicity chance. It is a way to show off the research, to generate interest in it. It brings it to the masses in a way they can understand. Some abstract talk about a computer in a lab that parses natural language means nothing. This shows a computer doing something pretty impressive against impressive humans. Really drives it home.
Unfortunately people get all whiny and defensive about it because they feel this is somehow an attack on humanity. They want to find ways to justify that it wasn't "really a fair test" to prove to themselves that the computers haven't "won."
That is just missing the point entirely. They never claimed Watson was a perfect human analogue (were that the case they would have gone for a rather different demonstration probably). They claimed it was an amazing data mining and parsing system, and they had a cool way to show that off.
Personally, I think it is just amazing and represents a new stage in computer language processing.
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Because it was irrelevant, and would've added nothing? They didn't attach a bubble-blowing machine to it either.
I can imagine some people getting nit-picky about the exact mechanics of how Jeopardy is played. I couldn't imagine someone turning these differences into some sort of conspiracy, but there you are.
Re:Underwhelming achievement (Score:5, Insightful)
Actually, you are wrong about the buzz in. It gives the humans an advantage. The reason is that Watson has a mechanical buzzer that it presses. So the only advantage would come from reacting faster. However, the rules state that you can buzz in only after the host has finished reading the clue. If you buzz in earlier then you are penalized by .25sec.
Watson has a computer clock. It never buzzes in early, and it never suffers the .25sec penalty. The humans did suffer this penalty on several occasions.
It's ridiculous beyond belief to claim that the humans had the advantage in buzzing in.
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Since the "controversy" in question is some dude on Slashdot shitting on an achievement orders of magnitude bigger than anything he will ever achieve, I sincerely doubt it made their radar.
Buzzer speed. (Score:2)
The key to victory seemed more decided by buzzer speed than anything else. Even as the other players seemed to try to buzz in, regardless of answer, they just didn't have the split-second precision as Watson did in triggering his buzzer, time after time.
Ryan Fenton
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This statement is true when there are three bags of meat playing instead of two. Anyone on the show has passed the test; the difference between winning and losing is mostly reaction time and resistance to pressure.
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Re:Buzzer speed. (Score:5, Interesting)
Uh - Watson obviously, obviously had a speed advantage. On today's episode there were many, many obvious answers (obvious to me - to Ken Jennings or Brad Rutter, blindingly - stupidly blindingly - obvious). Watson got almost all the obvious questions, and many times you could see the little eye roll of frustration from Ken and Brad.
On questions like this, Ken and Brad would have been waiting and trying to time the ring in (they would have known the answer long before the buzzer was active).
They lost almost every time.
So while the computer may not have had an absolute advantage (ie. if Ken could have rung in within milliseconds of the buzzer being active he would have been OK) it's clear it had an effective one in that it's a bloody machine that can ring in very quickly after the buzzer is active. I mean, yeah, it's cool that the computer knows the answer that fast - but we didn't get to see anything of a comparison of who knew a greater percentage of answers.
And, again, this was absolutely, obviously clear to anyone who watched the show. I don't believe anyone could have watched the show and not realize this. Honestly, this is a problem even without the computer. Between high level contestants, buzzer speed is going to determine the winner 9 times out of 10 - the Jeopardy questions just aren't hard enough to distinguish between the best competitors. Oh, and somewhere else in this article someone said "that's part of the game". That's true. But it's a stupid part of the game - and it makes it impossible to compare competitors with different brain technologies in any interesting way.
Jeopardy ratings (Score:2)
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Right, because Deep Blue spanking Kasparov totally ruined chess for everyone else. ;)
I'm pretty sure it won't be quite the same, but I'm sure they'll manage.
Re: (Score:2)
Right, because Deep Blue spanking Kasparov totally ruined chess for everyone else.
Deep Blue didn't ruin chess for people who'd already spent their lives learning how to play it. The question is whether it has reduced the number of kids taking up the game?
Buzzer buzzing contest (Score:2)
Timing is everything. (Score:2)
"In thirty years it will all fit in your pocket and cost $19.99."
Only if Moore's Law continues unabated. <Sigh> We finally see progress in useful AI, natural language, self-navigating cars, robots in the home, etc, and now we're running into Moore's Wall.
This is gonna be like the whole space thing again, isn't it? You build up my geek SF hopes and then stagnate for 40 years.
Jerks.
Watson did really well, but... (Score:2)
Wrong answers (Score:5, Interesting)
I thought the wrong/skipped answers were much more illuminating than the right answers.
For example, much has been made of Watson's "Toronto" answer to the US Cities question in Game 1. However, it wasn't a terrible answer because one of Toronto's airports is named after a war hero (Billy Bishop, the WWI fighter ace who shot down the Red Baron), and the main airport (Pearson) was named after a politician who was also a WWI veteran. Watson knew that Toronto wasn't in the US, the war was wrong and neither were named after a battle, but Toronto was the least wrong of all its options so that's what it chose. If this question had come up in the regular rounds Watson would have skipped (as happened occasionally). However, it needed to answer so it went with the best available option.
Now, since Watson would certainly have had data on O'Hare, Midway and Chicago in its database, the problem was either in the question parsing or the search heuristics. One suspects that its weakness is the linking together of disparate data, and it's quite likely that humans will retain this edge for some time.
Re:Wrong answers (Score:5, Informative)
Re: (Score:3)
Watson should have information in its database that WWI is NOT WWII. WWII was mentioned twice in the clue. A dumb substring search for "WWI" as a string will bring u
One good news (Score:3)