Netflix To Raise $2 Billion In Debt To Fund More Original Content (techcrunch.com) 122
According to a press release posted today, Netflix is planning to raise $2 billion to help fund new content, including "content acquisitions, production and development, capital expenditures, investments, working capital and potential acquisitions and strategic transactions." TechCrunch reports: The funds will be raised in the form of senior unsecured notes, denominated in U.S. dollars and euros, it said. This debt offering is the sixth time in under four years that Netflix is raising $1 billion or more through bonds, noted Variety, which was among the first to report the news. As of September 30, Netflix's long-term debt had reached $8.34 billion, up 71% from $4.89 billion in the year ago quarter, it said during its last earnings, Variety's report also noted. Netflix recently explained during its Q3 2018 earnings that it needs to continue to invest in original programming in order to remain competitive. "Content companies such as WarnerMedia and Disney/Fox are moving to self-distribute their own content; tech firms like Apple, Amazon and others are investing in premium content to enhance their distribution platforms," the letter also stated. "Amid these massive competitors on both sides, plus traditional media firms, our job is to make Netflix stand out so that when consumers have free time, they choose to spend it with our service," it had said.
Re:This is my stop. (Score:4, Funny)
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I'm much happier to watch 30 episodes of "Narcos" than two hours of "Hot Tub Time Machine 2."
Indeed. The original content is the only thing that makes Netflix worthwhile. Everything else I can watch for free on Amazon Prime.
Re:This is my stop. (Score:4)
I'm much happier to watch 30 episodes of "Narcos" than two hours of "Hot Tub Time Machine 2."
Indeed. The original content is the only thing that makes Netflix worthwhile. Everything else I can watch for free on Amazon Prime.
Apart from a few of their original content shows that either get cancelled half way through for some mysterious reason or are onlyupdated at a glacial pace, Amazon Prime is a huge pile of garbage. This streaming industry fragmentation is not helping anybody, I'm not signing up for, and paying a subscription to: WarnerMedia, Disney/Fox, Apple, Google, Hulu, HBO, YouTube, half a dozen local TV channels, etc. The more this market fragments into tons of separate players who all expect you to shell out a $20, 30, 50 subscription fee for access to their streaming gateway that gets you one new original content show and a handful of movies every couple of months the more likely I am to sign up to the one that has the most interesting stuff (in my case scifi) and pirate the rest of these bozos. Mind you, I might actually subscribe to YouTube if It meant finally getting rid of the damn commercials which should concern the other streaming services if users feel they actually get more value out of watching other users unbox stuff, making their cats do tricks or show you how to paint strip antique furniture than they do signing up to the Disney/Fox streaming gateway and watching their over hyped MPAA censored movies and shows.
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You can cancel at any moment though.
For now. I can imagine seeing Disney requiring a year long contract for their service and then everyone else following in because it's obviously an easy money grab. But who knows, maybe it turns into an interesting bit of ad wars between services.
"These guys want you to pay for a year but what's the point when you've binged your shows in two weekends?"
"Those guys don't have enough content you want to watch so they don't care if you stick around. We always have stuff year round."
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You can cancel at any moment though.
For now. I can imagine seeing Disney requiring a year long contract for their service and then everyone else following in because it's obviously an easy money grab. But who knows, maybe it turns into an interesting bit of ad wars between services.
"These guys want you to pay for a year but what's the point when you've binged your shows in two weekends?"
"Those guys don't have enough content you want to watch so they don't care if you stick around. We always have stuff year round."
Or only a rotating selection will be available to subscribers so you cannot view the whole series at any given time. Didn't one of the subscription services already do this with new episodes?
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Not everything, Bill. For example, the Marvel picture, BLACK PANTHER is free on Netflix, but you'll have to pay above and beyond your Amazon Prime membership to watch it there. There are actually lots of examples of non-original programming on Netflix that you'd have to pay for on Amazon or isn't available there at all.
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People started cutting the cord and smugly proclaimed they'll "Watch Netflix Insead" - all the while ignore the fact that content costs money and it would be a matter of time before content cost would hit Netflix.
Well boys and girls, it just did. "Netflix's long-term debt had reached $8.34 billion, up 71% from $4.89 billion in the year ago quarter..." is a huge whopping increase. Inv
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The problem with Netflix is the licensing mess. Last time I bothered to keep a subscription they really didn't have that much stuff.
I know I'm not really a typical Slashdotter (I have kids and a fairly busy life outside of the home) - The notion of sitting at home watching six hours of TV is foreign to me. Nevertheless, whenever someone says Netflix "doesn't really have that much stuff" it blows my mind. To me, the library of "stuff" on Netflix is HUGE. The notion that I wouldn't be able to find somethin
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Long term debt .. am I missing something here? (Score:2)
ELI5: Why is their long term debt so high? And isn't that a bad thing?
What are their gross and net profits?
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Is it a bad thing? It depends.
If I borrow and spend a billion dollars now, and get back $1.2 billion in a year from the things I spent the money on, the borrowing was a good thing: I made more money by borrowing the money and spending it than I would have had I not, and I'm in a position to pay back the debt if I want to. (Or maybe I can re-invest that money into other things and hope for more high returns.)
If I borrow and spend a billion dollars now, and get back just that one billion dollars over the cour
Re:Long term debt .. am I missing something here? (Score:5, Insightful)
The core problem is Netflix's original content costs grow without bounds the more successful it is. Netflix's subscriber count is asymptotic.
The more popular a Netflix series is, the more it costs to continue it for another "season". The same goes for the movies & sequels. Actors, writers, etc. tend to point to the success of a past project and demand a bigger paycheck to churn out another.
In the old model, success yields ticket sales, ad dollars, toy sales, etc. In Netflix's model, success yields nothing. The people who made it a success by watching it are already subscribed. You don't get more money for a second "season" or a sequel. Nor do you get more money by developing other content they might like, because their single subscription gives them everything. Nor do you get ad dollars since there are no ads.
Once you hit a certain point where everyone interested in Netflix has Netflix (or has a friend with Netflix), putting out MORE Netflix or BETTER Netflix doesn't generate more money.
In the long run, Netflix will have to run ads, charge a premium for certain content, stretch releases of "seasons" out over time (they're doing this with certain things already), keep increasing subscription costs, or some combination thereof.
Re:Long term debt .. am I missing something here? (Score:4, Insightful)
HBO does fine with the model of subscription only.
They seem to be way better at picking winners than Netflix is, and they spend far less on content, but it's definitely a sustainable business model if run well.
It'll be interesting to see if Netflix's model of tons and tons of mediocre content works. I'm not sure it will, because the whole season release model means people aren't so much in sync and therefore shows are less discussed and less of a cultural phenomenon even when they are great (and sone are).
If GoT was on Netflix for example, everyone would be totally out of sync, and there'd be a lot less talking about it, which in turn makes it harder to turn a great show into subs.
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Re: Long term debt .. am I missing something here? (Score:2)
I don't think the cable deal is necessary though.
I'd assume that's break even (they probably get cable money to be available, but give a cut of the sub), and I doubt cable is needed for subs bow adays.
I'm also pretty sure Netflix is on cable now.
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They are funding a portfolio, not a handful of shows. The portfolio grows over time and adds value. By making the debt long term, every dollar you spend only needs to be reasonably guaranteed to return $0.05-10. Of course, hopefully on average you do much better, but it is essentially seed capital for the portfolio.
What the tech companies are essentially trying to do is vertically integrate creativity, finance, production, marketing, and distribution. Not sure it will work, but they are spending a lot of
Re: Long term debt .. am I missing something here? (Score:2)
Long term debt just means it won't be covered by net current assets. It won't need to be paid off in under 12 months.
It sets an expectation to investors that this debt will be on the balance sheets and serviced in cash flows for many years. Investors would review how well the debt is being serviced rather than how quickly it will be paid off. And future lenders would consider it as a pending liability that comes before servicement of the debt they will be issuing.
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The content won't be worth much in a couple of years.
Not on Netflix, which is why they're already syndicating their shows elsewhere. Bojack Horseman is coming to FX / FXX (or was it AdultSwim?), for example.
Either they sell it for big bucks and try to cash in immediately, or they sell it cheap and negotiate for a chunk of the ad revenue on each run?
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I don't think they need adverts (Score:4, Interesting)
Re: Long term debt .. am I missing something here? (Score:2)
Content begets subscribers. Make good content, you get more subscribers looking for that content. And then they discover other stuff you have already done, staying around and paying fees for stuff you are only paying bandwidth to serve.
That's the game, and it's one Netflix appears to be good at - others are trying to replicate it (Amazon, Apple, HBO, Cinemax, etc.)
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Which means you are back to where you started.
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If you want me to read anything you post, you probably shouldn't just start with insults and name calling.
Grow up and have an adult discussion.
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Content begets subscribers. Make good content, you get more subscribers looking for that content.
Netflix subscriptions have plateaued. More good content won't get more subscribers.
And then they discover other stuff you have already done, staying around and paying fees for stuff you are only paying bandwidth to serve.
That's the game, and it's one Netflix appears to be good at - others are trying to replicate it (Amazon, Apple, HBO, Cinemax, etc.)
No, people on Netflix already know everything Netflix has to offer. It's a pretty thin library. And with the binge model, you can sub for a month, see everything that even vaguely interests you, then cancel for 11 months.
Netflix is slowly learning to ape HBO and others. HBO gets by because people stick around for 3 months to catch 10 weeks of Game of Thrones, then stick around for 3 more months to catch 10 weeks of Westwo
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Could be. I have no knowledge of overall subscriber trends. I know that I have to keep my account or my wife will have a small household coup if she didn't have access to the 20+ seasons of network sitcoms she seems to love...
The netflix monthly streaming charge is a small pittance in comparison to that.
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This ignores the fact that at some point they will be producing enough new content per year that they more than satisfy the demands of the typical subscriber. At that time their costs (for content) should stabilize, while they will continue to collect revenue from old subscribers.
It is also likely that at some point they will have such a large catalog that they can significantly reduce the new offerings and concentrate on a couple of popular properties (like HBO) to keep the subscribers interested.
My wife h
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What do you men by content costs should stabilize? Why? Content costs increase year over year. Just look at what any of the networks charge cable and the like to carry their content. So Netflix works in a magical world where production costs don't operate the same?
Moron.
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But you seem to be starting out on the assumption that Netflix pays as much as they can for the first season. What really happens is that there's a lot of aspiring actors, directors, writers etc. so they'll start low and go *shrug* there's a hundred more in line behind you if you don't want the offer. And they will threaten to write you out of the script if you demand too much for the next season, they'll figure that out before the series is renewed. They'll keep renewing the shows that are profitable, not
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But you seem to be starting out on the assumption that Netflix pays as much as they can for the first season. What really happens is that there's a lot of aspiring actors, directors, writers etc. so they'll start low and go *shrug* there's a hundred more in line behind you if you don't want the offer. And they will threaten to write you out of the script if you demand too much for the next season, they'll figure that out before the series is renewed. They'll keep renewing the shows that are profitable, not necessarily because they're popular if the costs get out of hand. And the last bit is a bit duh, if making "more or better" Netflix doesn't give any value it's just waste. If "more or better" gives value, then naturally you can charge more for that value. From a for-profit company's point of view, if you're not willing to pay for it it's not valuable.
I'm not assuming that.
90% of "Netflix Originals" are shit. 90% of those are low budget shit. Those can be safely ignored. They don't contribute significantly to cost OR subscribers.
The problem is when one of those "Netflix Originals" becomes a hit. Then the costs skyrocket. Netflix has a pattern of axing its most successful content after 2 or 3 seasons because no matter how much people like it, they can't bear the ever-increasing costs.
Sometimes Netflix skips the cheap phase because they're hunting for
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People need to study finance before making inane comments.
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Why is their long term debt so high?
Because they're stupid.
And isn't that a bad thing?
Very bad, unless they can keep the ROI ahead of the interest.
What are their gross and net profits?
https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/... [nasdaq.com]
Or check out that cash flow, quarterly: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/... [nasdaq.com]
They're spending bigly.
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They sell debt and repay it with membership fees. It's like lending money in reverse. The shows will be watched for years to come so it's like a capital expense which will be used for years to come and it doesn't make sense to pay for it from retained earnings.
If they paid for content from their cash reserves they wouldn't be able to fund all the content they have now and would still be paying more license fees
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Oh boy (Score:1)
Are they gonna bring back quantum leap?
Maybe they could finish (Score:4, Interesting)
Forever
or
Terminator: The Sarah Conner Chronicles
I see they're doing the new season of Lucifer...
I'd also like a sequel to Bright
Just say no to more movies from Adam Sandler though.
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Don't forget really cheap to produce content, like scenery channel lopped from various locations with generic music. Then various music video channels, again buy cheap early and loop over and over again.
People will pick the one the fills the most spots with the most content. Fuck sports that is for jock strap douche failures and with mind control levels of advertising, your sports stars, your team, the play for you, yeah fuck off, the mostly are jock strap douche fwits that chase the highest money and seeki
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The whole idea with Netflix is that they should be able to make better quality programming by relying on the long tail for viewing, and not having to worry about the whims of advertisers. Otherwise what is the point, it's just the same drek as other streaming services.
I'd love to see some really good documentaries, like the BBC used to make in the 70s/80s. Informative and in-depth, none of this Brian Cox gazing at the sky and breathlessly whispering about how amazing it all is. Making a Murderer was pretty
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I know. A fucking pop star who did that song that New Labour used.
And don't get me started about Sky At Night. The new presenter is a black woman who can't read!
Froth froth dumbing down froth froth green ink froth froth political correctness gone mad froth froth Belgians.
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You mean Dr. Maggie Aderin-Pocock? Fairly sure being able to read is a prerequisite for getting a PhD.
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Well either there are two people with that name or one of us doesn't know what dyslexia is.
P.S. I'll see your Brian Cox (fnarr fnarr) and raise you Hannah Fry gazing wistfully into the distance... though I can sort of put up with that.
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So... You called her out for being black and having dyslexia. That is your objection to her presenting The Sky At Night?
I want to be really clear about this.
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I'll call you out for being a liar, an aspie or having appalling reading comprehension.
You can choose more than one if you like.
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Or un-cancel Luke Cage and Iron Fist. I really enjoyed the former, Iron Fist season 1 was not the best but I hear season 2 is a great improvement.
And for the love of his noodliness don't cancel The Expanse.
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I watched every episode of both those series, kept holding my breath waiting for them to get good In my opinion they never did. And these are the types of shows that I like most, and I am incredibly easy to please (hell, I liked ALL of the mortal kombat movies).
Re: Huge Mistake! (Score:3)
Yeah, they should just force content owners to license to them... Somehow...
It's not Netflix's fault that every content studio under the sun tanks their licensing in order to give their own streaming operation a go. It does suck for us though - no way I'm subscribing to that useability and payment nightmare.
One Remaining Movie in Every Categtory (Score:3)
What more can they do and still keep the lights on?
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However, working well does not suit them any better if they are only carrying two year old series and movies, at best.
And it is a shame...
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Work well? I can rarely find anything that interests me to watch on Netflix. The options for search are terrible and the recommendations are barely any better. If I'm lucky, i'll stumble across a series that interests me, but usually not.
I wouldn't have a subscription at all if I had to pay for it.
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Two years old is meaningless. Any content I haven't yet seen is fair game. As it is, I've switched around my own TV recording habits and watch shows one season at a time, a year after it airs. If you're not paying to watch it two years ago elsewhere, it's just as fresh as anything.
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Netflix needs original content to survive. The other studios are setting up their own streaming services now, and removing their content from Netflix. Original content is the only reason I subscribe any more.
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Well, the studios were going to screw Netflix anyway by creating their own streaming services so Netflix made a heads-up move by getting into content production.
Enjoy while it Lasts (Score:5, Insightful)
They really need to find a way to pay for the new content from our subscriptions. I would much rather have a lower rate of quality shows over the next 30 years than a huge glut of new material for a few years followed by nothing because their business model has imploded.
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They profit a billion a year or so.
I'm not sure their cashflow situation (but with so much debt it may be negative).
They'll need to slow down the borrowing soon, but they also will be able too.
Someone signing up today already has a pretty big back catalog, in three more years, it'll be even more.
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Amazon sure looked like a ponzi scheme too by your definition.
Amazon's business is very different though. Their investments built a massive structure to support what is essentially an online shop. If they stop making new investments their money stream is not going to rapidly shrink because people will still keep on buying things from their existing infrastructure. Netflix is very different. If they suddenly stop making new content then their subscription base, and hence money stream, will rapidly collapse because those of us who have been subscribers for several year
Not a Ponzi Scheme (Score:3)
As for, why debt, the answer is taxes. They'll write it off as a business expense.
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They have to borrow more and more in order to make more new content to both attract new subscribers and maintain their existing ones.
That's the normal way business works. They have a product that is successful and profitable, so people are willing to invest more money in them to expand it.
The next big step for them is to get direct-to-stream movies given the same consideration as those shown in cinemas. Movies are ripe for disruption just like TV was, but it's a little harder because a lot of critics and awards won't look at anything that doesn't get a theatrical release, they consider them equivalent to straight to DVD trash.
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That's the normal way business works.
Absolutely correct but Netflix is not like a normal business. In a normal business you borrow money to build infrastructure that will continue to have a value long after the original investment because it can still make/sell widgets. However, with Netflix the value of the content they create rapidly declines because their subscribers will only watch it once or twice. The result is that Netflix's income is related far more closely to the rate of investment than the total amount invested so, if their rate of
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I can see it working but ... (Score:4, Insightful)
You would think that Netflix has saturated the market by now, so how does throwing more money at content generate more revenue? Netflix has obviously done some thinking.
More original content would mean less licensing films and TV shows from other companies. And they need a bootstrap to produce enough to begin to be free of other studios and distributors. But then where do we go for all the shows that brought us to Netflix? Maybe it's Plan B.
br/> Original content is still key, but perhaps Netflix knows about other markets, like PPV. I don't have any idea how much people pay for films that were recently in theaters and are now in PPV. It could be that Netflix wants to do more films that are either screened broadly or maybe limited run and then charge a few more bucks to watch them.
Whatever they do it's a lot of money and a big risk. The markets are not looking favorably at tech right now, either. I'd be cautious.
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You would think that Netflix has saturated the market by now,
Which market? They have original series all over the globe. Plenty of them are enjoyable with English subtitles if you don't like dubs.
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It reduces content acquisition costs, and ensures ongoing access to new content. Their own content is much easier to predict future costs on-- licensed deals not so much.
Acquisitions (Score:2)
Competition... (Score:2)
All this competition between subscription services means that a lot of great content that people want to see gets made. That's great for us but unsustainable as we can see from the amount of debt they're racking up. It looks like they're all going for market dominance or broke. This isn't going to last & we'll soon be going back to reality TV, game shows, & re-runs.
However, all these competing services mean that the good TV & movies that we might want to see are fragmented across several provide
Huh huh (Score:2)
I guess Netflix shouldn't have burned piles of cash with four Adam Sandler movies that were worse than garbage.
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He made a great comedy album when he was young. And was pretty good as a writer on SNL. But he never really seemed to carry on his success in Punch-Drunk Love, I think it was just a really well written script and he was in a particular frame of mind to be a serious and natural actor. Whatever acting capabilities he had in 2001/2002 seems to have vanished.
Netflix stops being Netflix (Score:2)
and starts being the cable companies they hated so much.
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Transgender Dragons (Score:2)
No seriously. I struggle 30 minutes every time I put netflix on to find something that's not absolute shite or mediocre at best. Every possible title I put in IMDB the ratings are between 4.8 to 5.8, and sometimes when I go for it... I find the score to be more or less precise. Netflix content is mediocre, with couple of things that stand out but not so much. People talk about some things for a month, and then after 5 months nobody even remembers it existed an
Do something besides watching (Score:2)
I started with them around 2002, when it was optical media only.
It was great to not have to go to the movie rental places anymore and just choose films online.
And as the years went by their catalog got better, right up to and during their initial venture into streaming.
Holy fuck those were the days.
A halcyon era of choice, where they had an amazing catalog of classics, b films, foreign films, all the new stuff as well as all kinds of great stuff to stream.
The
Netflix has the data (Score:1)
Netflix knows what is popular. They have years of aggregated data showing what people watch and re-watch. Any shows they produce should be a reflection of that. I really hope that this will produce more good series than the current ten fold recycled garbage available on network based tv.